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Let’s talk about those rumors about Harry Kane and Bayern

Let's talk about those rumors about Harry Kane and Bayern

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If you follow Tottenham Hotspur transfer rumors — and you’re reading this blog, so of course you do — you’ve probably come across a few… well, let’s call them “false” rumors linking Spurs’ homegrown superstar Harry Kane to a move to Bayern Munich, possibly as early as this summer. These rumors first emerged from the wilds of bat country in early September, mostly as weird “sources say” reports in different transfer trackers and in the worst English tabloids that we (almost) never link to.

The gist of the rumor is this: Bayern will try to seduce Kane with a blockbuster move to Munich next summer as Kane enters the final year of his current contract with Spurs. Tottenham There have been slow talks about a possible contract extension for Kane, but nothing seems imminent, and Bayern would try to take advantage of this to negotiate a (somewhat) advantageous deal for a then 30-year-old Kane.


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So what has changed today? Nothing really, except that there is a new report that essentially says the same thing in 90min.com, which may be a slight increase in the Daily Mail’s reliability (but not THAT big). Stories like these are almost as inevitable as the tides, especially after the 2021 saga that links Kane to a move to Manchester City that resulted in the posting of a slew of articles with jokes about motorcycles and headshots of Harry falling over. There was even a recent rumor that Todd Boehly might want to bring Kane to Chelsea!

So is a September story about Kane going to Bayern a good rumor? No. But is it one? plausible rumor? Well… yes, it could. So we need to talk about it because while this rumor feels like a buzz in the background, I have a feeling it might not go away.

Firstly, I want to make it clear that I am not advocating for the Spurs to sell Harry Kane, either to Bayern or elsewhere. But we have to recognize that there are essentially two options for Kane and Tottenham this season: either Spurs will offer and Kane will accept a new contract that will keep him with Spurs after 2024, or he/she will not. Both seem reasonable possibilities at this point. There has been a lot of background chatter about how Kane has been very happy to play under Antonio Conte for the past two seasons and that he is open to a new contract with Spurs. Should Harry decide he wants to stay with Spurs until the end of his career, he’ll sign a new deal and that’s the end of the story – quick, easy, (relatively) painless. But we haven’t seen much of that yet and apart from further information, we quickly leave solid ground and venture into the swampy landscape of unfounded rumours.

There is also an open question about the long-term motivation of both Kane and Tottenham. The Spurs are certainly moving in the right direction under Conte and this could be the club’s best chance to lift the silverware in a long time. But Kane is also chasing Jimmy Greaves as the Spurs’ top scorer and is within striking distance of Alan Shearer as the Premier League’s top scorer. He could get Greavsie, but if he leaves the Premier League he would end any chance he has of getting ahead of Shearer. And we don’t know how achieving any of his individual or team goals at Tottenham will affect his decision-making. Will it win a cup – or (whispers) the league – make him leave the Spurs more or less? We do not know.

My guess is that regardless of whether or not they will offer a contract sometime this season, Kane will then decide if he wants to sign it. And if that didn’t happen, Tottenham would sell him next summer – unpopular as it would be for fans, the club no longer has the influence it had in 2021 and it would be much better to sell him while he’s still alive. the leadership has value than letting him switch for free in 2024, probably to another Premier League club.

We know there are only a handful of destinations for Kane if the club decides to sell him. Manchester City is one of them, along with Real Madrid and Barcelona. Experts call Chelsea and Manchester United, but I don’t see the club selling Kane to any of them (or to City, barring a ridiculous fee) and I don’t see Kane going to a club where he would be essentially in the same position he is at Spurs. It should also be noted that there have been no ties that Kane likes with Barca or Madrid.

That leaves Bayern. Titles are no problem in Munich as Bayern have dominated that league since the Obama administration. I have no doubt that Bayern Munich are interested in Harry Kane. A move for Kane in the final year of his contract also fits a bit with Bayern’s transfer ethos – they don’t make smashing mega-million purchases all that often, but certainly like to hang out on the margins of many deals they can offer a discount for a big star. I can see that Kane is a plus under pretty much every manager at Bayern Munich, and it takes him out of Spurs and into a club where Tottenham don’t have to worry about him unless they put them in the game. Champions League.

In addition, it would also make sense for Kane (and his brother Charlie) to keep their options open in the short to medium term. It certainly doesn’t hurt them to play on the pitch, even if Harry wants to stay with Spurs. The Kane brothers now have a significantly greater share of the leverage now that Harry doesn’t have four years left on his contract, and it’s a good and smart thing for Kane to make sure his options remain open. A reasonable outcome of all this is either a new short-term Tottenham contract with an escape clause low enough to entice a mega club if they came to call, or a move abroad that will cost the Spurs their talisman but give them money. with which they can reinvest in the squad.

And if you’re Bayern, why not sow some seeds early and hope they grow into something they can reap? They have nothing to lose here. In the worst case, Tottenham and Kane close it through a contract extension. At best, they bring the best English striker of the past 30 years to Germany for a reasonable transfer fee.

So yes, this rumor is premature. It’s unsourced and a bit silly. But it is also plausibleeven if it’s not likely.

Losing Harry Kane would be a big loss. The emotional toll would be even higher. You can argue on the basis of financial prudence that this summer would be a good time to sell Kane, whether he insists on it or not… and that argument also applies to Son Heung-Min, who turns 31 in July. I’m not ready to make that argument just yet, but Tottenham are undoubtedly making plans for what the club will look like when he’s gone. Hopefully that won’t happen this summer, but I’m becoming increasingly convinced that unless Harry secures his future with a new contract soon, we can’t or shouldn’t rule it out.